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List of Publications June 2021

Suárez-Muñoz, M., M. Mina, P.C. Salazar, R.M. Navarro-Cerrillo, J.L. Quero, and F.F. Bonet-García. 2021. A step-by-step guide to initialize and calibrate landscape models: a case study in the Mediterranean mountains. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 9, p.209.

Olson, S.K., E.A.H. Smithwick, M.S. Lucash, R.M. Scheller, R.E. Nicholas, K.L. Ruckert, and C.M. Caldwell. 2021. Landscape-Scale Forest Reorganization Following Insect Invasion and Harvest Under Future Climate Change Scenarios. Ecosystems

Mina, M., C. Messier, M.J. Duveneck, M.-J. Fortin, and N. Aquilué. 2021. Network analysis can guide resilience‐based management in forest landscapes under global change. Ecological Applications 31(1): e02221.

Henne, P.D., T.J. Hawbaker, R.M. Scheller, F. Zhao, H.S. He, W. Xu, Z. Zhu. 2020. Increased burning in a warming climate reduces carbon uptake in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem despite productivity gains. Journal of Ecology. DOI: 10.1111/1365-2745.13559.

Huang, J., M.S. Lucash, R.M. Scheller, and A. Klippel. 2020. Walking through the forests of the future: using data-driven virtual reality to visualize forests under climate change. International Journal of Geographical Information Science. DOI: 10.1080/13658816.2020.1830997

De Jager, N.R., J.J. Rohweder, and M.J. Duveneck. 2020. Climate change Is likely to alter future wolf-moose-forest interactions at Isle Royale National Park, United States. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 8.

Wu, Z., E. Dai,and W. Guan. 2020. Modeling Subtropical Forest Changes under Climate Change and Close-to-Nature Silviculture: Is There a Tipping Point in an Uncertain Future in Southern China? Sustainability, 12(17), p.6992.

Xi, W., X. Zhou, and J. Zhang. 2020. LANDISVIEW 2.0: An upgraded visualization and analytical tool for landscape modeling. Environmental Modelling & Software, p.104849.

Schrum, P., R.M. Scheller, M.J. Duveneck, and M.S. Lucash. 2020. Base-Hurricane: A new extension for the Landis-II forest landscape model. Environmental Modelling & Software, p.104833.

Petter, G., P. Mairota, K. Albrich, P. Bebi, J. Brůna, H. Bugmann, A. Haffenden, R.M. Scheller, D.R. Schmatz, R. Seidl, and M. Speich. 2020. How robust are future projections of forest landscape dynamics? Insights from a systematic comparison of four forest landscape models. Environmental Modelling & Software, p.104844.

Nitschke, C.R., R. Trouvé, L.F. Lumsden, M. Fedrigo, L.T. Bennett, A.P. Robinson, and P.J. Baker. 2020. Spatial and temporal dynamics of habitat availability and stability for a critically endangered arboreal marsupial: implications for conservation planning in a fire-prone landscape. Landscape Ecology 35: 1553–1570.

Ling, P.Y., S. Prince, G. Baiocchi, C Dymond, W. Xi, and G. Hurtt. 2020. Impact of fire and harvest on forest ecosystem services in a species‐rich area in the southern Appalachians. Ecosphere, 11(6), p.e03150.

Matusick, G., S.J. Hudson, C.Z. Garrett, L.J. Samuelson, J.D. Kent, R.N. Addington, and J.M. Parker. 2020. Frequently burned loblolly–shortleaf pine forest in the southeastern United States lacks the stability of longleaf pine forest. Ecosphere 11: p.e03055.

Kretchun, A.M., R.M. Scheller, D.J. Shinneman, B. Soderquist, K. Maguire, T.E. Link, and E.K. Strand. 2020. Long term persistence of aspen in snowdrift-dependent ecosystems. Forest Ecology and Management 462: 118005.

Wu, Z., E. Dai, Z. Wu, and M. Lin. 2020. Assessing differences in the response of forest aboveground biomass and composition under climate change in subtropical forest transition zone. Science of The Total Environment 706: 135746.

Nenzén, H.K., D.T. Price, Y. Boulanger, A.R. Taylor, D. Cyr, and E. Campbell. 2020. Projected climate change effects on Alberta's boreal forests imply future challenges for oil sands reclamation. Restoration Ecology 28: 39-50.

Maxwell, C.J. and R.M. Scheller. 2020. Identifying Habitat Holdouts for High Elevation Tree Species Under Climate Change. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change 2:

Keyser A.R., D.J. Krofcheck, C.C. Remy, C.D. Allen, and M.D. Hurteau. 2020. Simulated increases in fire activity reinforce shrub conversion in a southwestern US forest. Ecosystems.

Krofcheck D.J., C.C. Remy, A.K. Keyser, and M.D. Hurteau. 2019. Optimizing forest management stabilizes carbon under projected climate and wildfire. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences.

Chick, M.P., A. York, H. Sitters, J. Di Stefano, and C.R. Nitschke. 2019. Combining optimization and simulation modelling to measure the cumulative impacts of prescribed fire and wildfire on vegetation species diversity. Journal of Applied Ecology 56: 722-732.

Cadieux, P., Y. Boulanger, D. Cyr, A.R. Taylor, D.T. Price, and J.A. Tremblay. 2019. Spatially explicit climate change projections for the recovery planning of threatened species: The Bicknell's Thrush (Catharus Bicknelli) as a case study. Global ecology and conservation 17: p.e00530.

Wu, Z., E. Dai, Z. Wu, and M. Lin. 2019. Future forest dynamics under climate change, land use change, and harvest in subtropical forests in Southern China. Landscape Ecology 34: 843-863.

Walsh, E.S. and T. Hudiburg. 2019. An integration framework for linking avifauna niche and forest landscape models. PloS one, 14(6).

De Jager, N.R., M. Van Appledorn, T.J. Fox, J.J. Rohweder, L.J. Guyon, A.R. Meier, R.J. Cosgriff, and B.J. Vandermyde. 2019. Spatially explicit modelling of floodplain forest succession: interactions among flood inundation, forest successional processes, and other disturbances in the Upper Mississippi River floodplain, USA. Ecological Modelling 405: 15-32.

Cassell, B.A., R.M. Scheller, M.S. Lucash, M.D. Hurteau, E.L. Loudermilk. 2019. Widespread severe wildfires under climate change lead to increased forest homogeneity in dry mixed‐conifer forests. Ecosphere

Marcon, A., D.J. Mladenoff, S. Grignolio, and M. Apollonio. 2019. Effects of forest management and roe deer impact on a mountain forest development in the Italian Apennines: A modelling approach using LANDIS-II. PloS One 14(11).

Lucash, M.S., K.L. Ruckert, R.E. Nicholas, R.M. Scheller, and E.A.H. Smithwick. 2019. Complex interactions among successional trajectories and climate govern spatial resilience after severe windstorms in central Wisconsin, USA. Landscape Ecology

Boulanger, Y., D. Arseneault, Y. Boucher, S. Gauthier, D. Cyr, A.R. Taylor, D.T. Price, and S. Dupuis. 2019. Climate change will affect the ability of forest management to reduce gaps between current and presettlement forest composition in southeastern Canada. Landscape Ecology 34: 159-174.

Remy, C.C., D.J. Krofcheck, A.R. Keyser, M.E. Litvak, S.L. Collins, and M.D. Hurteau. 2019. Integrating species-specific information in models improves regional projections under climate change. Geophysical Research Letters 46:10.1029/2019GL082762.

Flanagan, S.A., S. Bhotika, C. Hawley, G. Starr, S. Wiesner, J.K. Hiers, J.J. O’Brien, S. Goodrick, M.A. Callaham Jr., R.M. Scheller, K.D. Klepzig, R.S. Taylor, and E.L. Loudermilk. 2019. Quantifying carbon andspecies dynamics under differentfire regimes in a southeastern U.S. pineland. Ecosphere 10(6):e02772. 10.1002/ecs2.2772

Scheller, R.M., A. Kretchun, T.J. Hawbaker, P.D. Henne. 2019. A landscape model of variable social-ecological fire regimes. Ecological Modelling 401: 85-93.

McKenzie, P.F., M.J. Duveneck, L. Morreale, and J.R. Thompson. 2019. Local and global parameter sensitivity within an ecophysiologically based forest landscape model. Environmental Modelling & Software 117:1-13.

Krofcheck, D.J., E.L. Loudermilk, J.K. Hiers, R.M. Scheller, and M.D. Hurteau. 2019. The effects of management on long-term carbon stability in a southeastern U.S. forest matrix under extremefire weather. Ecosphere 10(3):e02631. 10.1002/ecs2.2631

Duveneck, M.D., and J.R. Thompson. 2019. Social and biophysical determinants of future forest conditions in New England: Effects of a modern land-use regime. Global Environmental Change 55: 115-129.

Hurteau, M.D., S. Liang, A.L. Westerling, C.Wiedinmyer. 2019. Vegetation-fire feedback reduces projected area burned under climate change. Scientific Reports 9: 2838.

Swanteson‐Franz, R.J., D.J. Krofcheck, and M.D. Hurteau. 2018. Quantifying forest carbon dynamics as a function of tree species composition and management under projected climate. Ecosphere 9: p.e02191.

Domke, G., C.A. Williams, R. Birdsey, J. Coulston, A. Finzi, C. Gough, B. Haight, J. Hicke, M. Janowiak, B. de Jong, W. A. Kurz, M. Lucash, S. Ogle, M. Olguín-Álvarez, Y. Pan, M. Skutsch, C. Smyth, C. Swanston, P. Templer, D. Wear, and C. W. Woodall, 2018: Chapter 9: Forests. In Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR2): A Sustained Assessment Report. [Cavallaro, N., G. Shrestha, R. Birdsey, M. A. Mayes, R. G. Najjar, S. C. Reed, P. Romero-Lankao, and Z. Zhu (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 365-398,

Hof, A.R., T. Löfroth, J. Rudolphi, T. Work, and J. Hjältén. 2018. Simulating long-term effects of bioenergy extraction on dead wood availability at a landscape scale in Sweden. Forests 9(8): 457.

Hof, A.R. and J. Hjältén. 2018. Are we restoring enough? Simulating impacts of restoration efforts on the suitability of forest landscapes for a locally critically endangered umbrella species. Restoration Ecology 26: 740-750.

Klimaszewski-Patterson, A., P.J. Weisberg, S.A. Mensing, and R.M. Scheller. 2018. Using Paleolandscape Modeling to Investigate the Impact of Native American–Set Fires on Pre-Columbian Forests in the Southern Sierra Nevada, California, USA. Annals of the American Association of Geographers 108: 1635-1654.

Gustafson, E.J., A.M.G. De Bruijn, N. Lichti, D.F. Jacobs, B.R. Sturtevant, D.M. Kashian, B.R. Miranda, P.A. Townsend. 2018. Forecasting effects of tree species reintroduction strategies on carbon stocks in a future without historical analog. Global Change Biology 24:5500–5517. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14397.

Krofcheck, D.J., M.D. Hurteau, R.M. Scheller, and E.L. Loudermilk. 2018. Prioritizing forest fuels treatments based on the probability of high‐severity fire restores adaptive capacity in Sierran forests. Global change biology 24: 729-737.

Gustafson, E.J., M.E. Kubiske, B.R. Miranda, Y. Hoshika, E. Paoletti. 2018. Extrapolating plot-scale CO2 and ozone enrichment experimental results to novel conditions and scales using mechanistic modeling. Ecological Processes 7:31. DOI: 10.1186/s13717-018-0142-8.

Gustafson, E.J., B.R. Miranda, B.R. Sturtevant, M.E. Kubiske. 2018. Can future CO2 concentrations mitigate the negative effects of high temperature and longer droughts on forest growth? Forests 9: 664; doi: 10.3390/f9110664.

O'Donnell, F.C., W.T. Flatley, A.E. Springer, and P.Z. Fulé. 2018. Forest restoration as a strategy to mitigate climate impacts on wildfire, vegetation, and water in semiarid forests. Ecological Applications 28:1459-1472.

Haga, C., T. Inoue, W. Hotta, R. Shibata, S. Hashimoto, H. Kurokawa, T. Machimura, T. Matsui, J. Morimoto, and H. Shibata. 2018. Simulation of natural capital and ecosystem services in a watershed in Northern Japan focusing on the future underuse of nature: by linking forest landscape model and social scenarios. Sustainability Science.

Scheller, R.M., A.M. Kretchun, E.L. Loudermilk, M.D. Hurteau, P.J. Weisberg, C. Skinner. 2018. Interactions Among Fuel Management, Species Composition, Bark Beetles, and Climate Change and the Potential Effects on Forests of the Lake Tahoe Basin. Ecosystems 21:643-656.

Kruhlov, I., D. Thom, O. Chaskovsky, W.S. Keeton, R.M. Scheller. 2018. Future forest landscapes of the Carpathians: Vegetation and carbon dynamics under climate change. Regional Environmental Change 18: 555-567.

Tonini, F., C. Jones, B.R. Miranda, R.C. Cobb, B.R. Sturtevant, and R.K. Meentemeyer. 2018. Modeling epidemiological disturbances in LANDIS-II. Ecography 41: 1-7.

Serra-Diaz, J.M., C. Maxwell, M.S. Lucash, R.M. Scheller, D.M. Laflower, A.D. Miller, A.J. Tepley, H.E. Epstein, K.J. Anderson-Teixeira, and J.R. Thompson, J.R., 2018. Disequilibrium of fire-prone forests sets the stage for a rapid decline in conifer dominance during the 21st century. Scientific Reports 8: 6749.

Loehman, R., W. Flatley, L. Holsinger, and A. Thode. 2018. Can Land Management Buffer Impacts of Climate Changes and Altered Fire Regimes on Ecosystems of the Southwestern United States?. Forests 9: 192.

Liang, S., M.D. Hurteau, and A.L. Westerling. 2018. Large-scale restoration increases carbon stability under projected climate and wildfire regimes. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. doi: 10.1002/fee.1791

Middendorp, R.S., V. Vanacker, and E.F. Lambin. 2018. Impacts of shaded agroforestry management on carbon sequestration, biodiversity and farmers income in cocoa production landscapes. Landscape Ecology 33: 1953–1974.

Duveneck, M.J. and J.R. Thompson. 2017. Climate Change Imposes Phenological Tradeoffs on Forest Net Primary Productivity. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences 122: 2298–2313.

Liang, Y., M.J. Duveneck, E.J. Gustafson, J.M. Serra-Diaz, and J.R. Thompson. 2017. How Disturbance, Competition, and Dispersal Interact to Prevent Tree Range Boundaries from Keeping Pace with Climate Change. Global Change Biology 24: 1–17.

Duveneck, M.J., J.R. Thompson, E.J. Gustafson, Y. Liang, and A. de Bruijn. 2017. Recovery Dynamics and Climate Change Effects to Future New England Forests. Landscape Ecology 32: 1385–1397.

Cantarello, E., A.C. Newton, P.A. Martin, P.M. Evans, A. Gosal, A., and M.S. Lucash. 2017. Quantifying resilience of multiple ecosystem services and biodiversity in a temperate forest landscape. Ecology and Evolution 7(22).

Hof, A. R., C. C. Dymond, and D. J. Mladenoff. 2017. Climate change mitigation through adaptation: the effectiveness of forest diversification by novel tree planting regimes. Ecosphere 8(11):e01981. 10.1002/ecs2.1981

Liang, S., M.D. Hurteau, and A.L. Westerling. 2017. Potential decline in carbon carrying capacity under projected climate-wildfire interactions in the Sierra Nevada. Scientific Reports 7: 2420.

Liang, S, M.D. Hurteau, and A.L. Westerling. 2017. Response of Sierra Nevada forests to projected climate-wildfire interactions. Global Change Biology 23:2016-2030.

Lucash, M.S., R.M. Scheller, E.J. Gustafson, and B.R. Sturtevant. 2017. Spatial resilience of forested landscapes under climate change and management. Landscape Ecology 32:958-969.

Ma, J., X. Xiao, R. Bu, R. Doughty, Y. Hu, B. Chen, X. Li, B. Zhao. 2017. Application of the space-for-time substitution method in validating long-term biomass predictions of a forest landscape model. Environmental Modelling & Software 94:127-139.

Gustafson, E. J., A. de Bruijn, N. Lichti, D.F. Jacobs, B.R. Sturtevant, J. Foster, B.R. Miranda, and H.J. Dalgleish. 2017. The implications of American chestnut reintroduction on landscape dynamics and carbon storage. Ecosphere 8(4):e01773.

De Jager, N.R., P.J. Drohan, B.M. Miranda, B.R. Sturtevant, S.L. Stout, A.A. Royo, E.J. Gustafson, and M.C. Romanski. 2017. Simulating ungulate herbivory across forest landscapes: A browsing extension for LANDIS-II. Ecological Modelling 350: 11-29.

Krofcheck, D.J., M.D. Hurteau, R.M. Scheller, and E.L. Loudermilk. 2017. Restoring surface fire stabilizes forest carbon under extreme fire weather in the Sierra Nevada. Ecosphere 8(1):e01663. 10.1002/ecs2.1663

Creutzburg, M.K., R.M. Scheller, M.S. Lucash, S.D. LeDuc, and M.G. Johnson. 2017. Forest management scenarios in a changing climate: tradeoffs between carbon, timber, and old forest. Ecological Applications 27: 503-518.

Wu, Z., Dai, E., Ge, Q., Xi, W. and Wang, X. 2017. Modelling the integrated effects of land use and climate change scenarios on forest ecosystem aboveground biomass, a case study in Taihe County of China. Journal of Geographical Sciences 27: 205-222.

Flatley, W. T., and P. Z. Fulé. 2016. Are historical fire regimes compatible with future climate? Implications for forest restoration. Ecosphere 7.

Hurteau, M.D., 2017. Quantifying the carbon balance of forest restoration and wildfire under projected climate in the fire-prone southwestern US. PloS one, 12(1), p.e0169275.

Gustafson, E.G., M.S. Lucash, J. Liem, H. Jenny, R.M. Scheller, K. Barrett, B.R. Sturtevant. 2016. Seeing the Future Impacts of Climate Change and Forest Management: a Landscape Visualization System for Forest Managers. USFS General Technical Report NRS-164. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 18 p.

Laflower, D.M., Hurteau, M.D., Koch, G.W., North, M.P. and Hungate, B.A., 2016. Climate-driven changes in forest succession and the influence of management on forest carbon dynamics in the Puget Lowlands of Washington State, USA. Forest Ecology and Management 362: 194-204.

Loudermilk, E.L., R.M. Scheller. P.J. Weisberg, A.M. Kretchun. 2016. Bending the carbon curve: fire management for carbon resilience under climate change. Landscape Ecology 1-12.

Kretchun, A.M., E.L. Loudermilk, R.M. Scheller, M.D. Hurteau, and S. Belmecheri. 2016. Climate and bark beetle effects on forest productivity — linking dendroecology with forest landscape modeling. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 46:1026-1034.

Dymond, C.C., C.R. Nitschke, K.D. Coates, R.M. Scheller. 2016. Carbon sequestration in managed temperate coniferous forests under climate change. Biogeosciences, 13(6), 1933.

Boulanger, Y., A.R. Taylor, D.T. Price, D. Cyr, E. McGarrigle, W. Rammer, G. Sainte-Marie, A. Beaudoin, L. Guindon, N. Mansuy. 2016. Climate change impacts on forest landscapes along the Canadian southern boreal forest transition zone. Landscape Ecology 1-17.

Gustafson, Eric J., A.M.G. De Bruijn, B.R. Miranda, B.R. Sturtevant. 2016. Implications of mechanistic modeling of drought effects on growth and competition in forest landscape models. Ecosphere 7(4):e01253.

Mallampalli, V. R., G. Mavrommati, J. Thompson, M. Duveneck, S. Meyer, A. Ligmann-Zielinska, C.G. Druschke, K. Hychka, M.A. Kenney, K. Kok, and M.E. Borsuk. 2016. Methods for translating narrative scenarios into quantitative assessments of land use change. Environmental Modelling Software 82:7–20.

Hurteau, M.D., Liang, S., Martin, K.L., North, M.P., Koch, G.W. and Hungate, B.A., 2016. Restoring forest structure and process stabilizes forest carbon in wildfire‐prone southwestern ponderosa pine forests. Ecological Applications 26: 382-391.

Middendorp, R.S., A.J. Pérez, A. Molina, and E.F. Lambin. 2016. The potential to restore native woody plant richness and composition in a reforesting landscape: a modeling approach in the Ecuadorian Andes. Landscape Ecology 1-19. DOI: 10.1007/s10980-016-0340-7

Duveneck, M.J. and R.M. Scheller. 2016. Measuring and managing resistance and resilience under climate change in northern Great Lake forests (USA). Landscape Ecology 31:1933-1947.

Thompson, J.R., E. Simons-Legaard, K.R. Legaard, and J.B. Domingo. 2016. A LANDIS-II extension for incorporating land use and other disturbances. Environmental Software and Modeling 75: 202–205.

Yang, J., P.J. Weisberg, D.J. Shinneman, T.E. Dilts, S.L. Earnst, and R.M. Scheller. 2015. Fire modulates climate change response of simulated aspen distribution across topoclimatic gradients in a semi-arid montane landscape. Landscape Ecology 30: 1055-1073.

Gustafson, E.J., and D.J. Shinneman. 2015. Approaches to modeling landscape-scale drought-induced forest mortality. Pages 45-71 in Perera, AH, BR Sturtevant and LJ Buse. Simulation Modeling of Forest Landscape Disturbances. Springer, New York.

Blumstein, M. and J.R. Thompson. 2015. Land-use impacts on the quantity and configuration of ecosystem service provisioning in Massachusetts, USA. J. of Applied Ecology 52: 1009–1019.

Serra-Diaz, J.M., R.M. Scheller, A.D. Syphard, and J. Franklin. 2015. Disturbance and climate microrefugia mediate tree range shifts during climate change. Landscape Ecology 30: 1039-1053.

Di Febbraro M., F. Roscioni, L. Frate, M.L. Carranza, L. De Lisio, D. De Rosa, M. Marchetti, and A. Loy. 2015. Long-term effects of traditional and conservation-oriented forest management on the distribution of vertebrates in Mediterranean forests: a hierarchical hybrid modelling approach. Diversity and Distribution (online version)

Simons-Legaard, E., K. Legaard, and A. Weiskittel. 2015. Predicting aboveground biomass with LANDIS-II: A global and temporal analysis of parameter sensitivity. Ecological Modelling 313: 325-332.

Newton, A. C. and E. Cantarello. 2015. Restoration of forest resilience: An achievable goal? New Forests: 46: 645-668.

Duveneck, M.J. and R.M. Scheller. 2015. Climate suitable planting as a strategy for maintaining forest productivity and functional diversity. Ecological Applications 25: 1653-1668.

Jenny, H., J. Liem, M.S. Lucash, and R.M. Scheller. 2014. 4D statistical surface method for visual change detection in forest ecosystem simulation time series. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 7: 4505-4511.

Yang, J., P.J. Weisberg, T.E. Dilts, E.L. Loudermilk, R.M. Scheller, A. Stanton, and C. Skinner. 2015. Predicting wildfire occurrence distribution with spatial point process models and its uncertainty assessment: a case study in the Lake Tahoe Basin, USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire 24: 380-390.

Martin, K.L., M.D. Hurteau, B.A. Hungate, G.W. Koch, and M.P. North. 2015. Carbon tradeoffs of restoration and provision of endangered species habitat in a fire-maintained forest. Ecosystems 18: 76-88.

Scheller, R.M. and M.E. Swanson. 2015. Simulating Forest Recovery Following Disturbances: Vegetation Dynamics and Biogeochemistry. In “Simulation Modeling of Forest Landscape Disturbances” A.H. Perera, B.R. Sturtevant, and L.J. Buse, Editors. Springer International Publishing Switzerland.

Gustafson, E.J., A.M.G. De Bruijn, M.E. Kubiske, R.E. Pangle, J-M Limousin, N. McDowell, B.R. Sturtevant, J. Muss, and W.T. Pockman. 2015. Integrating ecophysiology and forest landscape models to better project drought effects under climate change. Global Change Biology 21: 843–856.

Pauli, B.P., P.A. Zollner, G.S. Haulton, G. Shao, and G. Shao 2015. The simulated effects of timber harvest on suitable habitat for Indiana and northern long-eared bats. Ecosphere 6:art58

Thompson, J.R., K. Fallon-Lambert, D.R. Foster, M. Blumstein, E.N. Broadbent, and A.M. Almeyda Zambrano. 2014. Changes to the Land: Four Scenarios for the Future of the Massachusetts Landscape. Harvard Forest, Harvard University. ISBN: 978-0615-9852-68.

Wang, F., D.J. Mladenoff, J.A. Forrester, J.A. Blanco, R.M. Scheller, S.D. Peckham, C. Keough, M. Lucash, and S.T. Gower. 2014. Multi-model simulations of forest harvesting effects on long-term productivity and CN cycling in aspen forests. Ecological Applications 24: 1374-1389.

Janowiak, M. K., L.R. Iverson, D.J. Mladenoff, E. Peters, K.R. Wythers, W. Xi, et al. 2014. Forest ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis for northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan: a report from the Northwoods Climate Change Response Framework project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-136. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 247 p.

Handler. S., M.J. Duveneck, L. Iverson, E. Peters, R.M. Scheller, K. Wythers, L. Brandt, P. Butler, M. Janowiak, P.D. Shannon, C. Swanston, R. Kolka, C. McQuiston, B. Palik, C. Turner, M. White. 2014. Minnesota Forest Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment and Synthesis. USFS General Technical Report NRS-133.

Handler. S., M.J. Duveneck, L. Iverson, E. Peters, R.M. Scheller, K. Wythers, L. Brandt, P. Butler, M. Janowiak, P.D. Shannon, C. Swanston, A. Clark-Eagle, J.G. Cohen, R. Corner, P.B. Reich, and others. 2014. Michigan Forest Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment and Synthesis. USFS General Technical Report NRS-129.

Thomas-Van Gundy, M., and B.R. Sturtevant. 2014. Using scenario modeling for spruce restoration planning in West Virginia. Journal of Forestry 112: 457–466

De Bruijn, A. M. G., E.J. Gustafson, B.R., Sturtevant, J. Foster, B.R. Miranda, N. Lichti, and D.F. Jacobs. 2014. Toward more robust projections of forest landscape dynamics under novel environmental conditions: more mechanistic simulations of competition for water and light in LANDIS-II. Ecological Modelling 287: 44-57.

Mairota, P., V. Leronni, W. Xi, D.J. Mladenoff, and H. Nagendra. 2014. Using spatial simulations of habitat modification for adaptive management of protected areas: Mediterranean grassland modification by woody plant encroachment. Environmental Conservation 41: 144-156.

Kretchun A., R.M. Scheller, M.S. Lucash, K.L. Clark, J. Hom and S. Van Tuyl. 2014. The effects of multiple disturbances on carbon sequestration in the forests of the New Jersey Pine Barrens under different climate scenarios. PLOS One.

Birt, A. G., Y. Zeng, M.D. Tchakerian, R.N. Coulson, C.W. Lafon, D.M. Cairns and D.A. Street. 2014. Evaluating Southern Appalachian Forest Dynamics without Eastern Hemlock: Consequences of Herbivory by the Hemlock Woolly Adelgid. Open Journal of Forestry 4: 91.

Cantarello, E., A Lovegrove, A. Orozumbekov, J. Birch, N. Brouwers, and A.C. Newton. 2014. Human impacts on forest biodiversity in protected walnut-fruit forests in Kyrgyzstan. Journal of Sustainable Forestry 33: 454-481.

Duveneck, M.J., R.M. Scheller, and M.A White. 2014. Effects of alternative forest management strategies in the face of climate change in the northern Great Lake region. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 44:700-710.

Lucash M.S., R.M. Scheller, A.M. Kretchun, K. Clark and J. Hom. 2014. Impacts of climate change and fire on long-term nitrogen cycling and forest productivity in the New Jersey Pine Barrens. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 44: 402-412. 

Duveneck, M.J., R.M. Scheller, M.A. White, S.D. Handler, and C. Ravenscroft. 2014. Climate change effects on northern Great Lake (USA) forests: A case for preserving diversity. Ecosphere 5:23.

Loudermilk, E.L., A. Stanton, R.M. Scheller, T.E. Dilts, P.J. Weisberg, C. Skinner, J. Yang. 2014. Effectiveness of fuel treatments for mitigating wildfire risk and sequestering forest carbon: A case study in the Lake Tahoe Basin. Forest Ecology and Management 323: 114-125.

Sulman, B. N., Desai, A. R., & Mladenoff, D. J.2013. Modeling Soil and Biomass Carbon Responses to Declining Water Table in a Wetland-Rich Landscape. Ecosystems 16: 491-507.

Gustafson, E.J. 2013. When relationships estimated in the past cannot be used to predict the future: using mechanistic models to predict landscape ecological dynamics in a changing world. Landscape Ecology 28:1429-1437.

Loudermilk, E.L., R.M. Scheller, P.J.Weisberg, J. Yang, T. Dilts, S.L. Karam, C.N. Skinner. 2013. Carbon dynamics in the future forest: The importance of climate-fire interactions and long-term successional legacy. Global Change Biology 9: 3502-3515.

Scheller, R. M. 2013. Landscape Modeling. Pages 531-538 in S. A. Levin, editor. Encyclopedia of Biodiversity. Academic Press, Waltham, MA.

Gustafson, E. J. and B. R. Sturtevant. 2013. Modeling forest mortality caused by drought stress: implications for climate change. Ecosystems 16:60-74.

Newton, A. C., Cantarello, E., Tejedor, N., & Myers, G. 2013. Dynamics and conservation management of a wooded landscape under high herbivore pressure. International Journal of Biodiversity, 2013.

Steenberg, J.W.N., P.N. Duinker and P.G. Bush. 2013. Modelling the effects of climate change and timber harvest on the forests of central Nova Scotia, Canada. Annals of Forest Science 70: 61-73.

Karam,S., P. Weisberg, R.M. Scheller, W. Miller,D. Johnson. 2013. Development and evaluation of a nutrient cycling extension for the LANDIS-II landscape simulation model. Ecological Modelling 250: 45-57.

Scheller, R.M., A. M. Kretchun, S. Van Tuyl, K. L. Clark, M. S. Lucash, and J. Hom. 2012. Divergent carbon dynamics under climate change in forests with diverse soils,tree species, and land use histories. Ecosphere 3(11):110.

Dymond, C.C., R.M. Scheller, and S. Beukema. 2012. A New Model For Simulating Climate Change and Carbon Dynamics in Forested Landscapes. Journal of Ecosystems and Management 13:1–2.

Sturtevant, B.R., B.R. Miranda, D.J. Shinneman, E.J. Gustafson, P.T. Wolter. 2012. Comparing modern and presettlement forest dynamics of a sub-boreal wilderness - Does spruce budworm enhance fire risk? Ecological Applications 22: 1278–1296.

Xu, C., G.Z. Gertner, and R.M. Scheller. 2012. Pathways for forest landscape response to global climatic change: competition or colonization? Climatic Change 110: 53-83.

Steenberg, J.W.N., P.N. Duinker, P.G. Bush. 2011. Exploring adaptation to climate change in the forests of central Nova Scotia, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 262: 2316-2327.

Scheller, R.M., W.D. Spencer, H. Rustigan-Romsos, A.D. Syphard, B.C. Ward, J.R. Strittholt. 2011. Using stochastic simulation to evaluate competing risks of wildfires and fuels management on an isolated forest carnivore. Landscape Ecology 26: 1491-1504.

Cantarello, E., Newton, A.C., Hill, R.A., Tejedor-Garavito, N., Williams-Linera, G., López-Barrera, F., Manson, R.H., Golicher, D.J. 2011. Simulating the potential for ecological restoration of dryland forests in Mexico under different disturbance regimes. Ecological Modelling 222: 1112-1128.

Newton, A.C., Echeverría, C., Cantarello, E., Bolados, G., 2011. Projecting impacts of human disturbances to inform conservation planning and management in a dryland forest landscape. Biological Conservation 144: 1949-1960.

Thompson, J.R., D.R. Foster, R.M. Scheller, D. Kittredge. 2011. The influence of land use and climate change on forest biomass and composition in Massachusetts, USA. Ecological Applications 21: 2425-2444.

Gustafson, E.J., A.Z. Shvidenko, R.M. Scheller. 2011. Effectiveness of forest management strategies to mitigate effects of global change in south-central Siberia. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 41: 1405-1421.

Scheller, R.M., S. Van Tuyl, K. Clark, J. Hom, I. La Puma. 2011. Carbon sequestration in the in the New Jersey pine barrens under different scenarios of fire management. Ecosystems 14: 987-1004.

Syphard, A.D., R.M. Scheller, B.C. Ward, W.D. Spencer, J.R. Strittholt. 2011. Simulating landscape-scale effects of fuel treatments in the Sierra Nevada, California, USA. International Journal of Wildland Fire 20: 364-383.

Berland, A., B. Shuman, and S.M. Manson. 2011. Simulated importance of dispersal, disturbance, and landscape history in long-term ecosystem change in the Big Woods of Minnesota. Ecosystems 14: 398-414.

Spencer, W.D., H. Rustigan, R.M. Scheller, J.R. Strittholt, W.J. Zielinski, and R. Truex. 2011. Establishing a habitat and population baseline for fisher (Maretes Pennanti) for modeling future species viability in the southern Sierra Nevada, California. Biological Conservation 144: 788-803.

Scheller, R.M., D. Hua, P.V. Bolstad, R. Birdsey, D.J. Mladenoff. 2011. The effects of forest harvest intensity in combination with wind disturbance on carbon dynamics in a Lake States mesic landscape. Ecological Modelling 222: 144-153.

Birch, J.C., A.C. Newton, C.A. Aquino, E. Cantarelloa, C. Echeverríac, T. Kitzbergerd, I. Schiappacassee, N.T. Garavito. 2010. Cost-effectiveness of dryland forest restoration evaluated by spatial analysis of ecosystem services. PNAS 27: 21925-21930.

Miller, W.W., D.W.Johnson, S.L.Karam, R.F.Walker, and P.J. Weisberg. 2010. A Synthesis of Sierran Forest Biomass Management Studies and Potential Effects on Water Quality. Forests 1: 131-153.

Shinneman, D.J., M. Cornett, B.J. Palik. 2010. Simulating restoration strategies for a southern boreal forest landscape with complex land ownership patterns. Forest Ecology and Management 259: 446-458.

Xu, C., G. Z. Gertner, B. Güneralp, R. M. Scheller. 2010. Elasticity and loop analysis: tools for understanding forest landscape response to climatic change in spatial dynamic models. Landscape ecology 25: 855-871.

Gustafson, E.J., A.Z. Shvidenko, B.R. Sturtevant, R.M. Scheller. 2010. Predicting global change effects on forest biomass and composition in south-central Siberia. Ecological Applications 20: 700-715.

Scheller, R.M., E.J. Gustafson, B.R. Sturtevant, B.C. Ward, and D.J. Mladenoff. 2010. Increasing the research and management value of ecological models using modern software engineering techniques. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment: 8(5): 253-260.

Gustafson, E.J., A.Z. Shvidenko, B.R. Sturtevant, R.M. Scheller. 2010. Using Landscape Disturbance and Succession Models to Support Forest Management. Pages 99-118 in “Landscape Ecology and Forest Management: Challenges and Solutions in a Change Globe” C. Li, R. Lafortezza, and J. Chen, Eds. Springer.

Ravenscroft, C.R., R.M. Scheller, D.J. Mladenoff, M.A. White. 2010. Simulating forest restoration in a mixed ownership landscape under climate change. Ecological Applications 20: 327-346.

Shvidenko A., Gustafson E. 2009. Forest forming process and dynamic vegetation models under global change. In: “Ecological and Geographic Aspects of Forest Forming Process”, Proceedings of the All-RussianScience Conference with International Participation, 23-25 September 2009,Krasnoyarsk, Russia (ISBN 978-5-903055-21-0), pp. 19-22 [in Russian]

Sturtevant, B.R., R.M. Scheller, B.R. Miranda, D. Shinneman, A.D. Syphard. 2009. Simulating dynamic and mixed-severity fire regimes: A process-based fire extension for LANDIS-II. Ecological Modelling 220: 3380-3393.

Swanson, Mark E. 2009. Modeling the effects of alternative management strategies on forest carbon in the Nothofagus forests of Tierra del Fuego, Chile. Forest Ecology and Management: 257(8): 1740-1750.

Xu, C., G.Z. Gertner, and R.M. Scheller. 2009. Uncertainty in forest landscape response to global climate change. Global Change Biology 15: 116-131.

Xi, W, R.N. Coulson, J.D. Waldron, M.D. Tchakerian, C.W. Lafon, D.M. Cairns, A.G. Birt, and K.D. Klepzig. 2008. Landscape modeling for forest restoration planning and assessment: Lessons from the southern Appalachian Mountains. Journal of Forestry 106 (4): 191-197.

Scheller, R.M. and D.J. Mladenoff. 2008. Simulated effects of climate change, fragmentation, and inter-specific competition on tree species migration in northern Wisconsin, USA. Climate Research 36:191-202.

Spencer, W., H. Rustigian, R.M. Scheller, A.D. Syphard, J.R. Strittholt, B.C. Ward. 2008. Baseline Evaluation of Fisher Habitat and Population Status & Effects of Fires and Fuels Management on Fishers In the Southern Sierra Nevada. Report to the USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Region.

Scheller, R.M., S. Van Tuyl, K. Clark, N.G. Hayden, J. Hom, D.J. Mladenoff. 2008. Simulation of Forest Change in the New Jersey Pine Barrens under Current and Historic Conditions. Forest Ecology and Management, 255: 1489-1500.

Sturtevant, B. R., A. Fall, D. D. Kneeshaw, N. P. P. Simon, M. J. Papaik, K. Berninger, F. Doyon, D. G. Morgan, and C. Messier. 2007. A toolkit modeling approach for sustainable forest management planning: achieving balance between science and local needs. Ecology and Society 12(2): 7.

Xu, Chonggang, G.Z. Gertner, and R.M. Scheller. 2007. Potential effects of interaction between CO2 and temperature on Boundary Water Canoe Area forest landscape response to global warming. Global Change Biology 13: 1469-1483.

Scheller, R. M. and D. J. Mladenoff. 2007. Forest landscape simulation models: Tools and strategies for projecting and understanding spatially extensive forest ecosystems. Landscape Ecology 22: 491-505.

Scheller, R. M., J. B. Domingo, B. R. Sturtevant, J. S. Williams, A. Rudy, E. J. Gustafson, and D. J. Mladenoff. 2007. Design, development, and application of LANDIS-II, a spatial landscape simulation model with flexible spatial and temporal resolution. Ecological Modelling 201 (3-4): 409-419.

Gustafson, E.J., B.R. Sturtevant and A. Fall. 2006. A collaborative, iterative approach to transfer modeling technology to land managers. In Perera, A. H., Buse, L. and Crow, T.R.. (editors), Forest landscape ecology: Transferring knowledge to practice. Cambridge Press, London, UK. p. 43-64.

Ward, B. C., D. J. Mladenoff, and R. M. Scheller. 2005. Landscape-level effects of the interaction between residential development and public forest management in northern Wisconsin, USA. Forest Science 51: 616-632.

Scheller, R. M. and D. J. Mladenoff. 2005. A spatially interactive simulation of climate change, harvesting, wind, and tree species migration and projected changes to forest composition and biomass in northern Wisconsin, USA. Global Change Biology 11: 307-321.

Zollner, P. A., Gustafson, E. J., H.S .He, V.C. Radeloff and D.J. Mladenoff. 2005. Modeling the Influence of Dynamic Zoning of Forest Harvesting on a Northern Wisconsin Landscape. Environmental Management 35:410-425.

Gustafson, E.J., P.A. Zollner, B.R. Sturtevant, H. S. He and D. J. Mladenoff. 2004. Human influence on the abundance and connectivity of high-risk fuels in mixed forests of northern Wisconsin, USA. Landscape Ecology 19:327-341.

Scheller, R. M. and D. J. Mladenoff. 2004. A forest growth and biomass module for a landscape simulation model, LANDIS: Design, validation, and application. Ecological Modelling 180: 211-229.